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Econometrics and Business Statistics Seminars 2009

Friday,
January 23

Galit Shmueli (University of Maryland)

Explanatory Modeling vs. Predictive Modeling in Scientific Research

Wednesday,
February 25

Adrian Pagan (UNSW)

Modelling Constructed Binary Time Series

Friday,
March 13

Mattias Villani (Riksbank, Stockholm)

A general approach to regression density estimation

Friday,
March 27

Mick Coelli (Melbourne)

Leadership Effects: School Principals and Student Outcomes

Friday,
April 3

Qiying Wang (Sydney)

Structural Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression

Thursday,
April 9

Chris Spencer (Loughborough)

To Change or not to Change? Interest-Rate Inertia, Unobserved Heterogeneity, and Inflated Outcomes

Friday,
April 24

Michael Keane (UTS)

Child Care Choices and Children’s Cognitive Achievement: The Case of Single Mothers

Friday,
May 1

Paul Kofman (Melbourne)

Price discovery on the floor – a tale of liquidity and volatility

Friday,
May 8

Moshe Sniedovich (Melbourne)

Black Swans, Modern Nostradamuses, Voodoo Decision Theories, Info-Gaps, and the Science of Decision-Making in the Face of Severe Uncertainty

Friday,
May 15

PK Sen (North Carolina Chapel Hill)

The Theil-Sen Estimator in a Measurement Error Perspective

Friday,
May 22

Richard Huggins (Melbourne)

A Measurement Error Model for Heterogeneous Capture Probabilities in Mark-Recapture Experiments: An Estimating Equation Approach

Friday,
May 29

David Pitt (Melbourne)

Model selection and workers’ compensation claim frequency analysis

Friday,
June 5

Andrey Vasnev (Sydney)

Sensitivity of GLS Estimators in Random Effects Models

Friday,
June 19

Jiti Gao (Adelaide)

Estimation in Threshold Autoregressive Models with Nonstationarity

Friday,
July 17

Denise Osborn (Manchester)

International Linkages for Large Open Economies with an SVAR Representation

Friday,
July 24

Max King (Monash)

A New Procedure for Multiple One-Sided Hypothesis Testing

Friday,
July 31

Rob Hyndman (Monash)

Extreme forecasting

Friday,
August 14

Ralph Snyder (Monash)

Model Selection with the AIC: A Conundrum

Friday,
August 21

Austin Gerig (UTS)

The Market Impact of Large Transactions in Financial Markets

Friday,
August 28

Ashton de Silva (RMIT)

Applications of Multivariate State Space Models

Friday,
September 4

Rachida Ouysse (UNSW)

Variable Selection and Model Averaging in the APT: Estimation of Factor Betas and Risk Premiums

Friday,
September 18, AM

Katsuto Tanaka (Hitotsubashi)

Distributions of quadratic functionals of the ordinary and fractional Brownian motions

Friday,
September 18, PM

Garry Barrett (UNSW)

The Return to Cognitive Skills in the Australian Labour Market

Friday,
September 25

Timothy Kyng (Macquarie)

Valuation of Executive Share Options Using Barrier Option Pricing Theory

Friday,
October 2

Mike Wohlgenant (NCSU)

Rational Addiction in US Demand for Table Wine

Friday,
October 9

Catherine Forbes (Monash)

Modeling and Predicting Volatility and its Risk Premium: a Bayesian Non-Gaussian State Space Approach

Friday,
October 16

Leon Zolotoy (MBS)

Hiding ‘Bad’ News on Fridays? Not Such a Good Idea!

Wednesday,
October 21

Yacine Aït-Sahalia (Princeton)

Analyzing the Spectrum of Asset Returns: Jump and Volatility Components in High Frequency Data

Friday,
October 23

Vance Martin (Melbourne)

A general hypothesis tests for stationary Markov process

Friday,
October 30

Paul Frijters (QUT)

Rural to Urban Migration in China: An Overall View

Thursday,
November 5

Timo Terasvirta (Aarhus)

Modelling Volatility by Variance Decomposition

Friday,
November 6

Mardi Dungey (Tasmania)

Bivariate Jump Tests: Evidence from the US Treasury Bond and Futures Markets